Arera power and gas tariff trend

Periodic Adjustment of Tariffs for Protected Services

Electricity Supply Tariffs

According to ARERA data for electricity, price projections for thefirst quarter 2025 indicate an increase in the electricity bill for the vulnerable "typical customer"[1] served under Greater Protection. The change for the next quarter is attributable to several factors: the continuation of geopolitical tensions in some strategic areas and the seasonal increase in wholesale electricity prices, correlated to natural gas prices in view of the winter season.

Despite the increases, spending for the typical vulnerable user in Greater Protection will be around 523 euros, in the period between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025. This < b>value remains 2.1% lower compared to the 534 euros recorded in the previous period (1 April 2023 - 31 March 2024). 

From 1 January 2025, the reference price of electricity for the typical customer will be 31.28 euro cents per kilowatt hour, including taxes.

Conditions for moving to the Gradual Protection Service: From 1 July 2024, all non-vulnerable customers served under Greater Protection have been automatically transferred to the Gradual Protection Service, with the supplier selected via auction in that area. This transitional service will be active for just under three years (until March 31, 2027) at the end of which, in the absence of an express choice, customers will continue to be supplied by the same seller on the free market.

Updates for Vulnerable Customers: ARERA will continue to monitor and update the economic conditions of the Greater Protection service quarterly for vulnerable customers, including tariff updates as provided for by Decree-law 181/23 for energy security. The typical family has an average annual electricity consumption of 2,700 kWh and a committed power of 3 kW.

[1] These are vulnerable customers with annual consumption of 2,000 kWh and a contracted power of 3 kW. The calculation for the 'average' vulnerable customer, with annual consumption of 2,700 kWh and 3 kW of contracted power, is available on the Authority's website

Quarterly variations of the economic protection conditions for power (ARERA data)

Natural gas supply rates

Starting from January 2024, the gas protection service has been replaced by the vulnerability protection service, intended for domestic customers only vulnerable. ARERA also makes public on its website (for the first time since the end of electricity protection) the fees for the month of July 2024 which apply to non-vulnerable domestic customers included in the Gradual Protection Service.

From January 2024, the Authority, with the same times and methods as in previous months, publish on the site the price component of the gas to cover supply costs, applied to customers of the vulnerability protection service. The component of the gas price to cover supply costs (CMEM,m), applied to customers in the vulnerability protection service, is updated by ARERA as a monthly average of the price on the Italian wholesale market (the PSV day ahead) and published within the first 2 working days of the month following the reference month.

For the month of December, which saw wholesale prices increase compared to those recorded in November, the price of the gas raw material alone (CMEM,m), for customers in the vulnerability protection service, is equal to € 47,59/MWh*.

Value of the raw material of the Vulnerability Protection Service

(*) The values ​​of the CMEM,m component published on www.arera.it

(**) for supplies of natural gas with a reference higher heating value equal to 0.038520 GJ/Smc